BTC and XRP – Has the correction ended?


The price of Bitcoin has decreased by 5.64% from yesterday’s open at $8568 as it’s currently being traded at $8089. The price is still in a downward trajectory as the downtrend from the 4th of November hasn’t still developed fully.

On the hourly chart, we can see that the price fell to the 0.786 Fibonacci level and has retested the descending channels support line. This could indicate the potential support being found and with the wave structure pointing out the competition of the three-wave move this looks likely.

Prior to the depreciation, we have seen a spike to the upside with strong momentum which indicated impulsiveness, so if we are seeing the start of an impulse wave to the upside with the current depreciation being its 2nd wave these levels are its perfect ending point. In theory, the price can fall back to the starting point of the starting impulse on the 2nd wave but considering the power behind the presumed 1st wave this shouldn’t happen.

However, the price fell below the light blue horizontal level which was the resistance point of the previous range and was expected to provide more support then it did. As the price entered the lower horizontal range so it did in a descending one from which a breakout was made when the price spiked to the upside.

This means that we could be seeing another corrective move with the previous spike being the A wave and the current structure is its B wave. After the current decline ends, another five-wave move to the upside would be expected either as a C wave or the 3rd wave from the next impulse wave. So from its momentum and significant level interaction, we are going to evaluate the possibility.


From yesterday’s high at $0.266 the price of Ripple decreased by 8.27% as it fell to $0.24407 at its lowest point today around which it is currently being traded.  The price fell sharply to the 0.786 Fibonacci level and found support above the ending point of the previous 2nd wave. Looking at the hourly chart, we can see that after the five-wave move to the upside ended we have seen two ABC corrections with the decrease from the 7th of November being its third one. If this third ABC correction ended and it looks like it could have, now we are to see the start of the next five-wave move to the upside.

Although this will be evaluated from the momentum behind the increase we could see the price going above the previous high. In that case, the expected move would be the 3rd of the higher degree count but like in the case of Bitcoin it also can be the C wave from yet another corrective structure.

Nikola Lazić

Expertise: Cryptocurrencies, Technical analysis, Elliot waves, Fibonacci
Nikola has a bachelor degree in Sociology, which gives him the edge in the financial market, knowing a lot about herd mentality. That is why he uses Elliot wave principles mostly, in combination with Fibonacci levels. He started learning more about financial markets back in 2015 and is now a full-time trader.
As an anarcho-capitalist, he fully supports the vision of decentralized future offered by cryptocurrencies, that’s why his attention and interest are mostly focused on them. His analysis has been praised by some of the most influential people from the cryptocurrency scene, like Jeff Berwick, the founder of The Dollar Vigilante Newsletter, Vit Jedlicka, the president of Liberland, and other trader colleagues.

Be the first to comment

Leave a Reply

Your email address will not be published.